#Budgeting, #Economics - Why is it that governments can run huge deficits for years? Why can't I?

Question

So my budget has a deficit - I apparently spend more than I earn. But governments do it all the time. Why can't I?

Answer

There is a world of difference between using a currency (people/companies) and issuing a currency (governments).

Analysis

There is a world of difference between the way money flows affect a government/country and the way they affect a person/family.

With a person/family, and even with a company, financial health is dictated directly by the ability to have more income than expenses. When expenses are bigger than income, and particularly when we're talking about a long period of time or a large deficit income, then assets will decline (bank balances, investments, etc, will drop) or liabilities will increase (bigger and bigger credit card balances, bigger loans from the bank, etc). And unfortunately there's really no way around it - if expenses are higher than income, there's a problem that is either front and centre or is waiting in the wings.

A government is a different animal. While people/families/companies use money, governments issue it. From that situation comes how governments can operate at a deficit for so long.

Think of government's operations this way - when governments take in money (taxes are one frequent way), they are taking money out of the nation's monetary system. When governments spend money (whether on the military, a social safety net, or any other way), money is put into the nation's monetary system. One of the goals of government is to maintain a healthy balance between taking money in putting money back into the system.

So what happens in the case of a government that is constantly spending more than it's taking in? Let's walk this one through to see what happens:

• Government spends more than it takes in, which puts more money into the economy 
• More money in the economy means that businesses and people have more money (on average) to spend
• With more money to spend, businesses and people desire to buy more things
• Demand for things to buy (more and more buyers) goes up, also risk tolerance increases (which basically means that more and more people will be willing to put more and more money into stocks and investments that are riskier and riskier)
• With demand increasing and supply not catching up, prices rise (which is called "inflation")

Inflation is a topic unto itself, but suffice it to say for now that low inflation is a mixed bag of good and bad and high inflation is (pretty much) all bad.

And so when governments overspend on a routine basis, there are ripples throughout the nation's economy, some of which are good and some which are bad. When people and companies do it, they simply end up in a bad situation.

~~~~~

As always, questions and comments welcome!

#Budgeting, #Household Math - Budgeting - what happens if the numbers add up to bad news?

Question

I've done the steps of listing out my expenses, putting in the numbers, and then identifying my income and it turns out my expenses are higher than my income. What now?

Answer

First verify the numbers are correct. Then begin to address areas that can be improved. Lastly, be open to change - if there's a large deficit, you may have to be open to things such as government assistance and the like.

Analysis

Before we get into what might you do to adjust your living situation, let's first verify that the budget is accurate. Ironically, the bigger the difference between income and expenses, the easier it'll be to verify the numbers.

If the difference is quite big and it has been happening for some period of time (and the budget is accurate), then the money that you've been spending has to have been coming from somewhere. Are your credit card balances increasing? or is there a running balance on your cards? Is your bank balance or investments balance decreasing? Are you borrowing larger and larger sums of money and having difficulties paying it back?

Again, the bigger the deficit and the longer the period of time this has been the case, the easier it'll be to see where the money is coming from. (If it turns out your bank, investment, and debt balances are not changing, then it may be the case that something has been left out of the budget or there's a math mistake).

Let's say you've verified the numbers and they are correct - expenses are higher than income. What can be done?

First off, stop and breathe. Be proud of yourself for bringing the situation to light. Coming to grips with a difficult to accept situation is praise-worthy, so take a minute and give thanks that you now have the knowledge that your financial health isn't what you thought it was.

Ok - now we can address the situation. What is the magnitude of the deficit?  If it's small then it may be that eating out a little less or other types of luxuries can be cut back and that will solve the problem.

With deficits that are larger, it'll require more work. For some people, it may require obtaining outside help, such as public assistance, to be able to keep some version of your financial life intact. For others, it may require a severe downsizing or moving from a high-cost location to a lower-cost location.

Again, the most important thing is to work with what is known. The worst thing to do when faced with a deficit in the budget is to ignore it and pretend it doesn't exist. That is the road to disaster.

So what if income is higher than expenses? Great news! Now - did you verify the budget is correct by checking your bank/investment/debt balances? Are they moving in the correct directions? If so - good! If not - you've missed something!

With the budget numbers in front of you, do you see anything that looks like you could do better? Is the dining out budget too high or is it right on? Are there opportunities to save even more money?

With all of this, remember that the budget is a living document in that it should be changed when there is a life change.

This post is part of a series on budgeting - Budgeting 101

~~~~~

As always, questions and comments always welcome!

#Household Math - Searching for better income and the financial impact of the search...

Question

Let's say someone is earning $18/hr, working 40 hours per week. That person really wants to earn $20/hr but is unable to get that raise with their current employer. If the person quits work to seek out a $20/hr position, how many hours will have to be worked at the $20/hr job to make up for the lost $18/hr?

Answer

The answer depends on the time unemployed. It takes 9 hours at the higher wage to make up for every hour of being unemployed, 9 days for each day unemployed, 9 months for each month, etc...

Analysis

This question hinges on the time the person is out of work looking for a higher paying job. We can find an expression that will give us that relation.

Let's first look at the money being lost by looking for a new job. That can be expressed as 18N, where N is the number of working hours you aren't working (you are uNemployed).

Each day, where N = 8, you lose $18 X 8 = $144

Ok, so now to the amount of money you'll be making. We need to see that, once we're working again, we can essentially look at it as earning the $18/hr, plus earning an additional $2/hr that will make up for the unemployed time.

For each hour where that person could have been earning $18/hr, it'll take 9 hours for the $2/hr to make up for it. And so it'll take 9 days for each day of being unemployed.

If it takes a month to find the job, it'll be 9 months.

And so the message here is this - if the job search is liable to drag on, it might be advisable to find alternate means of earning more income.

~~~~~

Questions and comments always welcome

#Budgeting, #Household Math - Budgeting - Income

Question

I've done the budget process for expenses. Now what?

Answer

Let's now add income to the budget...

Analysis

It's time to add in the Income numbers into the budget and oddly enough this can be the harder part of the budgeting process.

With expenses, we want to identify all the expenses we incur over the course of a year, then display that on a monthly basis (we've done that part in prior posts). We use the Accrual Method to identify expenses as they are incurred so as to prevent surprises. Surprise expenses are no fun.

With income, we want to identify it as it's received - the Cash Method. One of the tendencies in budgeting is to project a rosy future where the promised raise at work is a sure thing, where that tax refund will be large, where a long lost relative died in the Congo ages ago and selfless lawyers have searched for years to find the heir - and it's you. We don't want to budget that in - if it happens, great and if it's periodic, we can budget it in (if the raise does indeed happen, adjust your budget!). Surprise income is a good thing.

For most people, income starts and ends with a salary. When we budget, we're going to want to budget the "take home pay" - not the gross pay. It's great that you have a job that pays $50,000 per year, but if you only take home $40,000 of that, that's what goes in the budget.

This also goes for people who receive pensions and other sources of periodic payments. Include what you know you are receiving. If and when an announcement comes that it's being changed, adjust your budget accordingly - if it's good news and the pension is going up, adjust the budget when you actually have that first payment in the bank. If it's bad news and it's going down, adjust the budget immediately and see if you'll need to change anything in your lifestyle.

Another common way to "overstate income" is to look to bank interest and other sources of investment income like that. Unless you have your finances set up to be living off of investment income (and we'll talk about that below), don't include it.

Ok - people who live on investment income, people who own a small business, or otherwise whose income varies. It's important to pick an income number that focuses more on the lean months than the rich ones - and it may be the case that budgeting into the expense side of things a "float" that income overages can go into and that reverse during the lean months. Doing something like that will require constant vigilance on that account - it's been set up to be there when income is lower, so you need to make sure it's nice and full when income is plentiful.

I've updated the budget example here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kCtMSNnKUXhvJT9yif5wtl5jbEsmyFz9mQ-IV62_U4g/edit?usp=sharing

and you'll note that we have a situation where the income is less than the expenses. We'll talk about that situation in the next post.

This post is part of a series on budgeting - Budgeting 101

~~~~~

As always, questions and comments are welcome!

#Budgeting, #Household Expenses - Budgeting for Expenses - Putting in numbers...

Question

I've made my list of expenses. Now what?

Answer

Let's add some numbers! 

Analysis

In my last budgeting blogpost, I talked about identifying all the expenses and ways that money leaves your pocket. We want to look at the budget over the course of a sensible and useable timeframe, and that's usually one month.

The overall idea here is to budget for expenses using the Accrual Method - as soon as you are obliged to pay an amount, that should be recorded in your budget. This is why credit card payments will not make an appearance on this budget - we don't care how we pay for something, we only care that we need to pay.

Some items in our list of expenses are very easy to figure out monthly. Rent, mortgage payments, car payments, and the like are usually a single monthly payment and are easy to put into our budget sheet.

Some expenses are monthly but fluctuate. Electricity costs, for example, fluctuate based on the season (when it's colder, the costs go up). For costs that fluctuate, cycle, or otherwise change significantly over the course of the year, I'd recommend adding up the amount spent over the course of a year, then dividing by 12.

Other expenses are yearly. For instance, when paying insurance costs, I tend to pay a yearly lump sum, which results in a bit of a discount. Again, drop those costs into the yearly column and divide by 12.

And for costs that are every few months? Find the costs per year and divide by 12.

Here's an example:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bDvJ0qpCvjIGNMs9AhliwCIlYY8XLLP8dnXbH1TxueE/edit?usp=sharing

This post is part of a series on budgeting - Budgeting 101

~~~~~

Questions and comments always welcome!

#Budgeting, #Household Math - Budgeting Basics - Expenses

Question

How do I budget for expenses? 

Answer

This will take a few posts to do, but in this one we simply identify all the possible outlays you experience and put them in a spreadsheet.

Analysis

As we start preparing a budget, it's important to first identify where money goes. Do you pay rent or a mortgage? Pay for a car? Insurance? Gas? Or perhaps transit - maybe a daily fare or a monthly transit pass? Utilities? Cable? Phone (landline and/or mobile)? Food?

Let's first list out those items that you know about into a list (we'll be modifying the list, and so using a program like Excel (PC), Numbers (Mac), or Sheets (Google - it's free and can be used online). Here's a sample:

Mortgage
Condo Fees
Condo Insurance

Water
Electricity
Gas (Note: the heater and stove are natural gas)
Cable

Phone, landline
Phone, mobile

Groceries

Dining out

Auto payment
Auto insurance
Auto fuel
Auto maintenance, repairs


And perhaps you have other expenses that need to be added into this list. If you think of it, write it down!

Once you've done that, take a look at your credit card statement for the past few months. Do you see things there that aren't on the list? Clothing? Add it. Video games? Add it. Go ahead and put in all the categories you think of.

I've built a google spreadsheet to follow along with these posts (it's view only):

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZxwZz7Nn5ZYVV-x6HgPavTP6wkfIswP8-NTvV9gTTR4/edit?usp=sharing

In our next step, we'll add numbers.

This post is part of a series on budgeting - Budgeting 101

~~~~~

As always, questions and comments welcome!

#Budgeting, #Household Math - Budgeting - Why?

Question

Why should I budget? What's the point?

Answer

Much like a doctor's visit when you feel ill or are having a check-up, a budget acts that way for someone's financial life.

Analysis

There are many ways to talk about budgeting and finances that keep the topic strictly focused on dollars and cents (or whatever the names are for your particular currency!). But I'd like to talk about it in a more holistic fashion.

Let's talk about "health". What does it mean to be "healthy"?

Probably the most common way "health" is referred to is with "physical health". When we're ill, we reach for some sort of medicine (whether traditional, Eastern, Western, alternative, or whatever modality you typically reach for) or perhaps go to see a medical professional. Perhaps we even see the doctor once per year for a physical to help find illnesses that are lurking silently within our bodies.

There are other types of health as well. Mental health, for instance, refers to the health of the mind, the intellect, and the emotions. Spiritual health refers to feeling a healthy connection to God/the Universe/Life/whatever name you choose to refer to it.

All these different types of health all impact one another. For example, poor physical health can lead to depression (poor mental health) and poor spiritual health ("Why do bad things happen to good people?"). Each of these factors can impact the others.

And so now let's talk about "Financial health". Being unhealthy financially can (and I'd argue, will) impact your other health aspects: physical, mental, spiritual, and others. And conversely, being unhealthy in other areas of your life can (and again I'd argue, will) affect your financial health.

Aside from the more obvious examples of how your financial life can be impacted (physical sickness making employment difficult, reducing income and increasing medical bills), there are the sneaky ways that financial health can be impacted. One example is of "retail therapy" - spending money in order to feel better. And this type of therapy can sneak up on us - online shopping, buying large amounts of "comfort foods" and "comfort drinks" - think high fat, moocho-yummy coffee drinks all the way up to alcoholic drinks - and other types of purchases. All of this can turn into a vicious cycle where spending is conducted to counteract the feeling of depression from an unhealthy financial situation.

And this is where a budget can help.

A budget is akin to going to the doctor - it allows for an examination of what is going on in someone's financial life, to have facts and not feelings on something (it's far better to know that way too much money is being spent on Starbucks than simply feeling that it's the case).

A budget is also akin to getting a physical - financial health can be examined and areas found that can be tweaked so that even better financial health can be achieved.

This post is part of a series on budgeting - Budgeting 101

~~~~~

As always, questions and comments are always welcome!